High travel season (signal)
Cebu (CEB) peaks are a proxy for travel pressure. If Cebu is crowded, Manila usually feels it too. This is seasonality, not a Manila headcount.
Cebu cargo peaks (signal)
Cargo tonnage is another congestion signal. Higher cargo months often mean fuller schedules.
Cebu aircraft movements (signal)
Aircraft movements show runway activity. Use this to sanity‑check peak months.
Price windows (USD advantage)
These are the weeks when USD buys the most PHP in 2025. If you’re spending in pesos, these windows can lower trip costs.
If you spend in PHP, a lower PHP per USD rate is better for you.
Methodology Notes
FX data is BSP daily reference rates aggregated to weekly highs and lows for 2025. Passenger data uses MCIAA 2025 YTD passenger, cargo, and aircraft movement charts for CEB and CAAP 2024 Airpasscar totals for DVO. NAIA/MNL monthly series are not publicly available.